Item 2.02Item 2.02 - Results of Operations
Item 2.02 Results of Operations and Financial Condition.
On January 29, 2026, Oshkosh Corporation (the “Company”) issued a news release (the “News Release”) announcing its earnings for the quarter and year ended December 31, 2025. A copy of such news release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 and is incorporated by reference herein.
On January 29, 2026, the Company is holding a conference call in connection with the Company’s announcement of its earnings for the quarter and year ended December 31, 2025 and its outlook for 2026. An audio replay of such conference call and the related question and answer session along with a December 31, 2025 slide presentation utilized during the call will be available for at least twelve months on the Company’s website at www.oshkoshcorp.com.
The information, including, without limitation, all forward-looking statements, contained in the News Release and related slide presentation on the Company’s website (the “Slide Presentation”) or provided in the conference call and related question and answer session speaks only as of January 29, 2026. The Company assumes no obligation, and disclaims any obligation, to update information contained in the News Release and the Slide Presentation or provided in the conference call and related question and answer session. Investors should be aware that the Company may not update such information until the Company’s next quarterly earnings conference call, if at all. In particular: Statements in the Slide Presentation and on the conference call that relate to the Company's financial targets for 2028 use language that might imply a level of certainty about the likelihood that the Company will attain these targets, it is possible that the Company will not attain them in the timeframe noted or at all. By their nature, the risk and uncertainty associated with these targets are greater than that associated with near-term guidance and should not be construed as guidance. Therefore, investors should construe these statements regarding the Company's financial targets for 2028 only as targets rather than promises of future performance or absolute statements.
The News Release and the Slide Presentation contain, and representatives of the Company may make during the conference call and the related question and answer session, statements that the Company believes to be “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. All statements other than statements of historical fact included in the News Release and the Slide Presentation or made during the conference call and related question and answer session, including, without limitation, statements regarding the Company’s future financial position, business strategy, targets, projected sales, costs, earnings, capital expenditures, debt levels and cash flows, plans and objectives of management for future operations and the Company’s goals, targets and objectives including those relating to its 2028 targets, are forward-looking statements. In addition, forward-looking statements generally can be identified by the use of forward-looking terminology such as “may,” “will,” “expect,” “intend,” “estimate,” “anticipate,” “believe,” “should,” “project,” “confident” or “plan,” or the negative thereof or variations thereon or similar terminology. The Company cannot provide any assurance that such expectations will prove to have been correct. Important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from the Company’s expectations include, without limitation, those set forth under the caption “Risk Factors” below. Additional information concerning factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those in the forward-looking statements is contained from time to time in the Company’s filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission.
In this Current Report on Form 8-K, “we,” “us” or “our” refers to Oshkosh Corporation.
RISK FACTORS
Business and Operational Risks
Our markets are highly cyclical. Declines in these markets could have a material adverse effect on our operating performance.
The access equipment market is highly cyclical and impacted (i) by the strength of economies and customers’ perceptions concerning the timing of economic cycles, (ii) by residential and non-residential construction spending, (iii) by the ability of rental companies to obtain third-party financing to purchase revenue generating assets, (iv) by capital expenditures of rental companies in general, including the rate at which they replace aged rental equipment, (v) by the timing of regulatory standard changes, and (vi) by other factors, including oil and gas related activity and government spending. Municipal fire apparatus markets are cyclical later in an economic cycle and are impacted by the economy generally and by municipal tax receipts. Refuse and recycling collection vehicle markets are also cyclical and impacted by the strength of economies in general, by municipal tax receipts and by the size and timing of capital expenditures,
including replacement demand, by large waste haulers. Airport products markets are also cyclical and impacted by global demand for air transportation services. If demand for our products is lower than what we or the market expect, due to a recession or other factors, then there could be an adverse effect on our net sales, financial condition, profitability and/or cash flows. In addition, those impacts could be more than we anticipate.
Our performance under our United States Postal Service (USPS) contract may not be what we expect.
The Next Generation Delivery Vehicle (NGDV) contract allows the USPS to purchase up to 165,000 units over 10 years. As of December 31, 2025, we have received orders for 51,500 vehicles. The USPS contract and our performance under the contract are subject to the following risks, among others, that could have a material adverse effect on our results of operations, financial condition, and/or cash flows:
• The USPS ordering fewer units than we expect which could result in an impairment of our deferred contract asset. We estimate that deferred contract costs exceed future profits on existing orders by approximately $135 million at December 31, 2025.
• The ramp-up of NGDV production has taken longer and cost more than we anticipated, which has resulted in lower revenues and higher costs than we anticipated. It is possible that production may continue to lag our expectations due to equipment design issues, supplier quality issues, supplier performance issues or other challenges associated with scaling production.
• Throughout the product lifecycle, discontinuation of production parts by suppliers may result in unanticipated design costs.
• Warranty costs may be higher than we anticipate.
• If additional orders are received, the mix of internal combustion engine and battery electric vehicles could be different from our expectations.
• The USPS may exercise its right to terminate the contract for convenience.
Changes in trade policies and other factors beyond our control may adversely impact our results.
The United States has announced changes to U.S. trade policies, including increasing tariffs on imports and potentially renegotiating or terminating existing trade agreements. The exact scope and duration of any such tariffs that have been or will ultimately be implemented, or retaliatory tariffs that have been or could be implemented by other countries on U.S. exports, is not known, and the impacts on our business are uncertain. Tariffs implemented by the U.S. during 2025 cost us approximately $35 million in 2025 and we estimate that will increase to approximately $200 million in 2026. Geopolitical tensions and trade wars can disrupt supply chains and increase the cost of our products, which could cause our products to be more expensive for customers. Countries have adopted restrictive trade measures such as tariffs, taxation, foreign exchange controls, capital controls and controls on imports or exports of goods, technology or data, any of which could adversely affect our operations and supply chain or limit our ability to offer our products and services as intended.
Countries may implement additional restrictive trade actions, including tariffs, export controls, sanctions, legislation favoring domestic investment and other actions impacting the import and export of goods in jurisdictions in which we or our suppliers operate. These kinds of restrictions could be adopted with little to no advance notice and could escalate in response to tariffs or restrictions imposed by the U.S. or other countries, and we may not be able to effectively mitigate any adverse impacts from such measures. Further changes in laws or regulations governing the terms of foreign trade, and in particular from countries where we manufacture products or from which we import products or raw materials (either directly or through our suppliers), including products or raw material subject to China's export control requirements regarding certain materials, including rare earth minerals, could have a material adverse effect on our competitive position, results of operations, financial condition, and/or cash flows.
Uncertainty surrounding trade or other international disputes has adversely impacted, and could continue to adversely impact, customer confidence, inflation, interest rates and the level of investments by our customers and on the economy in general. Any of these events could increase the cost of our products, reduce demand for our products, create disruptions to supply chains or impair our ability to effectively operate and compete in countries where we do business.
Our capacity expansion plans may take longer or cost more than we expect or may not achieve the benefits we anticipate.
We are pursuing initiatives to expand and optimize our manufacturing capacity. Such initiatives may include facility expansions or reconfigurations, capital investments in equipment and automation, workforce hiring and training, supplier capacity development and the implementation of new processes or systems. The execution of these capacity expansion plans is subject to a variety of risks and uncertainties, including delays in construction or equipment delivery, challenges in recruiting and retaining skilled labor, supply chain constraints, cost inflation, permitting or regulatory requirements and difficulties integrating new capacity into existing operations. In addition, our assumptions regarding demand levels, timing and product mix may change over time, which could affect the timing, scale or economic returns of these investments. If our capacity expansion initiatives take longer or cost more than we anticipate or fail to deliver the operational efficiencies or throughput improvements we expect, we may be unable to meet forecasted sales, incur higher operating or capital costs or experience reduced margins. Any such delays or inefficiencies could adversely affect our results of operations, cash flows or competitive position.
Fluctuations in prices of raw materials and other inputs may adversely impact our results.
We purchase, directly and indirectly through component purchases, significant amounts of steel, aluminum, copper and other commodities. Steel, aluminum, copper and other commodity prices have historically been highly volatile. Costs for these items may increase in the future due to a variety of factors, including: outbreaks of conflict in regions of the world that produce the commodities or the raw materials that go into the commodities or through which the commodities are transported; or a weakening U.S. dollar.
In addition, the cost of parts, materials, components or final assemblies has increased and may continue to increase for reasons other than changes in commodity prices. Factors such as the imposition of duties and tariffs and other trade barriers, supply and demand, the level of imports, freight costs, availability of transportation, the cost or availability of manufacturing labor, inventory levels and general economic conditions may affect the prices we pay for parts, materials, components or final assembly purchases. While the Company seeks to mitigate increases in the price of materials and other inputs through cost reduction initiatives, there can be no assurance that these efforts will be successful or sufficient to offset such cost increases.
Increases in parts, materials, components or final assemblies costs could reduce the profitability of orders in backlog as those sales prices have already been negotiated. If we are not able to recover cost increases through price increases to our customers, then such increases would have an adverse effect on our financial condition, profitability and/or cash flows. Furthermore, price increases may not be accepted by our customers and may result in them choosing to order from our competitors. Any significant decrease in orders could have an adverse effect on our net sales, financial condition, profitability and/or cash flows. Additionally, if costs decrease and we are unable to negotiate timely component cost decreases commensurate with any decrease in costs, then our higher component costs could put us at a disadvantage compared to our competition which could have a material adverse effect on our net sales, financial condition, profitability and/or cash flows.
We are dependent upon third-party suppliers, making us vulnerable to supply shortages and price increases.
We have experienced, and in the future are likely to experience, significant disruption of the supply of some of our parts, materials, components and final assemblies that we obtain from suppliers or subcontractors. Delays in obtaining parts, materials, components and final assemblies may result from a number of factors affecting our suppliers including shipping disruptions, capacity constraints, labor constraints, supplier product quality issues, decisions by suppliers to discontinue or modify components or parts, including to meet changing regulatory requirements, suppliers’ impaired financial condition, interruptions in suppliers' information technology systems and suppliers’ allocations to other purchasers. Such disruptions have resulted and could further result in higher manufacturing costs caused by an inefficient parts flow to our production lines or the need to procure parts from higher cost suppliers, could delay production and/or sales and could result in a material adverse effect on our results of operations, financial condition, and/or cash flows.
We are dependent on our suppliers of engines, chassis, axles, batteries and other components to continue to timely deliver such components that meet applicable emissions regulations and customer preferences. If we fail to have adequate relationships with suppliers that will supply appropriate engines, chassis, axles, batteries and other
components to us or fail to timely receive appropriate components from our suppliers, that could result in us being placed in an uncompetitive position or without finished product when needed.
Labor issues may adversely impact our results.
Our production, or the production of our suppliers, could be disrupted by labor issues including availability of skilled workforce in locations in which we and our suppliers operate due to competition, absenteeism, public health issues, strikes or other factors. In addition, our production schedules assume the availability of a sufficient workforce in areas in which our facilities operate at anticipated labor rates. If a sufficient workforce is not available or rates are higher than we anticipate, it could have an adverse effect on our net sales, financial condition, profitability and/or cash flows.
Our dependency on contracts with U.S. and foreign government agencies subjects us to a variety of risks that could materially reduce our revenues or profits or impact our capital allocation strategy.
We are dependent on U.S. and foreign government contracts for a significant portion of our business. Approximately 20% of our net sales in 2025 were to the U.S. government. That business is subject to the following risks, among others, that could have a material adverse effect on our operating performance:
• The Weapon Systems Acquisition Reform Act and the Competition in Contracting Act require competition for U.S. defense programs in most circumstances. Competition for U.S. Department of Defense (DoD) programs that we currently have has resulted and could in the future result in the U.S. government awarding future contracts to another manufacturer or could result in the U.S. government awarding the contracts to us at lower prices and operating margins than we experience under the current contracts.
• Competitions for U.S. government contracts are intense, and we cannot provide any assurance that we will be successful in current or future procurement competitions in which we participate. In addition, the U.S. government has become more aggressive in seeking to acquire the design rights to our current and potential future programs to facilitate competition for manufacturing our vehicles.
• Most of our contracts with the DoD are multi-year firm, fixed-price contracts. These contracts typically contain annual sales price increases. We attempt to limit the risk related to raw material price fluctuations for major defense components by obtaining firm pricing from suppliers at the time a contract is awarded. However, if these suppliers do not honor their contracts, then we could face profit margin pressure. Furthermore, if our actual costs on any of these contracts exceed our projected costs, it could result in profits lower than historically realized or than we anticipate.
• We must spend significant sums on product development and testing, bid and proposal activities, and pre-contract engineering, tooling and design activities in competitions to have the opportunity to be awarded these contracts. Despite our investments, we may not receive the contracts that we expect.
• Our Transport segment results may fluctuate significantly from time to time as a result of the start and completion of existing and new domestic and international contract awards that we may receive. A majority of our contracts in the Transport segment are large in size and require significant personnel and production resources, and when our government customers allow such contracts to expire or significantly reduce their vehicle requirements under such contracts, we must make adjustments to personnel and production resources.
• Our business is susceptible to changes in the annual U.S. defense budget. Such changes may reduce revenues that we expect, especially in light of federal budget pressures, lower levels of U.S. ground troops deployed in foreign conflicts and the level of defense funding that will be allocated to the DoD’s tactical wheeled vehicle strategy generally.
• Certain of our U.S. government contracts could be delayed or terminated, and all such contracts expire in the future and may not be replaced, which could reduce revenues that we expect under the contracts and negatively affect margins.
• The funding of DoD programs is subject to an annual congressional budget authorization and appropriations process. In years when the U.S. government has not completed its budget process before the end of its fiscal year, which is currently the case for the U.S. government's fiscal 2026 budget, government operations are typically funded pursuant to a “continuing resolution,” which allows federal government agencies to operate at spending levels approved in the previous budget cycle but does not authorize new spending initiatives. When the U.S. government operates
under a continuing resolution, delays can occur in the procurement of the products, services and solutions that we provide and may result in new initiatives being delayed or canceled, or funds could be reprogrammed away from our programs to pay for higher priority operational needs. The current continuing resolution funding the U.S. government expires on January 30, 2026. Furthermore, in years when the U.S. government fails to complete its budget process or to provide for a continuing resolution, a federal government shutdown may result. A government shutdown could result in the delay or cancellation of key programs, which could have a negative effect on our cash flows and adversely affect our future results. In addition, payments to contractors for services performed during a federal government shutdown may be delayed, which would have a negative effect on our cash flows.
• As a U.S. government contractor, our DoD contracts and systems are subject to audit and review by the Defense Contract Audit Agency and the Defense Contract Management Agency. These agencies review our performance under our U.S. government contracts, our cost structure and our compliance with laws and regulations applicable to U.S. government contractors. Systems that are subject to review include, but are not limited to, our accounting systems, estimating systems, material management systems, earned value management systems, purchasing systems and government property systems. If improper or illegal activities, errors or system inadequacies come to the attention of the U.S. government, as a result of an audit or otherwise, then we may be subject to civil and criminal penalties, contract adjustments and/or agreements to upgrade existing systems as well as administrative sanctions that may include the termination of our U.S. government contracts, forfeiture of profits, suspension of payments, fines and, under certain circumstances, suspension or debarment from future U.S. government contracts for a period of time. Whether or not illegal activities are alleged and regardless of materiality, the U.S. government also has the ability to decrease or withhold certain payments when it deems systems subject to its review to be inadequate. These laws and regulations affect how we do business with our customers and, in many instances, impose added costs on our business.
• Defense contract awards that we receive may be subject to protests or lawsuits by competing bidders, which protests or lawsuits, if successful, could result in the U.S. government customer revoking part or all of any contracts it awards to us and our inability to recover amounts we have expended in anticipation of initiating production under any such contract.
• Although we believe there is demand from international customers for our tactical wheeled vehicles, there is no assurance that additional orders will materialize.
• In January 2026, the U.S. President issued an executive order directing the DoD and other defense-related agencies to prioritize the warfighter in procurement decisions, including increased emphasis on speed of delivery, affordability, domestic sourcing and operational readiness. While intended to enhance military effectiveness, this directive could result in changes to acquisition strategies, contract structures, technical requirements, pricing expectations or supplier selection criteria. Such changes could increase competition, reduce margins, accelerate delivery schedules or require additional capital investments, which could in turn have a material adverse effect on our net sales, financial condition, results of operations and/or cash flows. Under the executive order, the DoD could also impose conditions or otherwise create disincentives that could limit our ability to repurchase shares of our Common Stock or to pay dividends to our shareholders.
Our results could be adversely affected by severe weather, natural disasters, and other events in the locations in which we or our customers or suppliers operate.
We have manufacturing and other operations in locations prone to severe weather and natural disasters, including tornados, earthquakes, floods, fires, hurricanes, tsunamis or severe snowstorms, that could disrupt our operations. Our suppliers and customers also have operations in such locations. Severe weather, a natural disaster or other conditions or events that result in a prolonged disruption to our operations, or the operations of our customers or suppliers, could delay delivery of parts, materials or components to us or sales to our customers and could have a material adverse effect on our net sales, financial condition, results of operations and/or cash flows.
Consolidation within our customer and dealer bases may impact our strategy, pricing and product margins.
Significant consolidation in our customer and dealer bases could enhance the influence of customers and dealers over our business strategy. Intensified consolidation in the industries we serve may provide our customers and dealers with additional leverage in negotiations around our product and service offerings. For example, the Access segment’s largest customers are rental companies that serve the end user equipment rental markets. Should access equipment
customers consolidate through mergers and acquisitions, or should larger access equipment customers continue to grow through the acquisition of smaller rental companies, the buying influence of access equipment customers may grow and may impact the competitive environment within the industry. Similarly, the municipal fire apparatus market distribution channel is comprised of a relatively small number of dealers that, if they were to consolidate, may create additional pricing pressure, as well as concentrated credit exposures, as our reliance on a smaller group of larger individual dealerships increases. If that trend in customer and dealer consolidation continues, it could have an unfavorable impact on our pricing and product margins.
Disruptions within our dealer network could adversely affect our business.
Although we sell the majority of our products directly to the end user, we market, sell and service products through a network of independent dealers in the Vocational segment and in a limited number of markets in the Access segment. As a result, our business with respect to these products is influenced by our ability to establish and manage new and existing relationships with dealers. We or a dealer may choose to terminate the relationship as a result of difficulties that our independent dealers experience in operating their businesses due to economic conditions or other factors or as a result of an alleged failure by us or an independent dealer to comply with the terms of our dealer agreement. We do not believe our business is dependent on any single dealer, the loss of which would have a sustained material adverse effect upon our business. However, disruption of dealer coverage within a specific state or other geographic market could cause difficulties in marketing, selling or servicing our products and have an adverse effect on our net sales, financial condition, results of operations and/or cash flows.
In 2024, we transitioned our non-fleet refuse and recycling collection vehicle business from factory direct sales to a dealer network. There is no assurance that the dealers will be successful in selling refuse and recycling collection vehicles. If the transition of our refuse and recycling collection vehicle business is not as successful as we anticipate, it could have an adverse effect on our net sales, financial condition, results of operations and/or cash flows.
In addition, our ability to terminate our relationship with a dealer is limited due to state dealer laws, which generally provide that a manufacturer may not terminate or refuse to renew a dealer agreement unless it has first provided the dealer with required notices. Under many state laws, dealers may protest termination notices or petition for relief from termination actions. Responding to these protests and petitions may cause us to incur costs and, in some instances, could lead to litigation resulting in lost opportunities with other dealers or lost sales opportunities, which may have an adverse effect on our net sales, financial condition, results of operations and/or cash flows.
Competition and Strategy Risks
We face significant competition in the markets we serve.
The markets in which we operate are highly competitive. We compete worldwide with a number of other manufacturers that produce and sell similar products. Our products primarily compete on the basis of brand awareness, product innovation, performance, quality, reliability, availability, price, service and support, ability to meet customer specifications and the extent to which a company offers single-source customer solutions. Certain of our competitors have greater financial, marketing, manufacturing, distribution and governmental affairs resources than we do, which may put us at a competitive disadvantage. We also face pricing pressure from international competitors that attempt to gain domestic market share through importing and selling products at below market prices, particularly in the Access segment. If competition in our industries intensifies or if competitors lower their prices for competing products, we may lose sales or be required to lower the prices we charge for our products. We cannot provide any assurance that our products will continue to compete effectively with the products of competitors or that we will be able to retain our customer base or improve or maintain our profit margins on sales to our customers.
We may not realize all of the anticipated benefits of our acquisitions.
We are continuously evaluating potential acquisitions to support our business strategy. As part of this evaluation process, we perform due diligence to identify potential risks associated with the potential transaction. We also make assumptions regarding future performance of the acquired business. We cannot provide any assurance we will be able to successfully achieve the benefits of any business acquisition due to a variety of risks, including the following:
• Our ability to identify acquisition targets and consummate transactions;
• Our failure to achieve the acquisition’s expected future financial performance or realize assumed efficiencies or assumed cost reductions;
• There may be a mismatch in workplace cultures between us and the acquired business;
• We may experience delays or unexpected difficulties in integrating the acquired business;
• We may incur unforeseen expenses or liabilities or may be subject to other unanticipated regulatory or government actions related to the acquired business; and
• We may incur higher transaction costs than expected.
If we are unable to continue to enhance existing products and develop new products that respond to customer needs and preferences, we may experience a decrease in demand for our products and our business could suffer.
One of our growth strategies is emphasizing our new product development as we seek to expand sales and margins by leading our core markets in the introduction of new or improved products and technologies or expanding our product portfolio into adjacent markets. Our ability to match product improvements and new product offerings to diverse global customers’ anticipated needs for different types of products and various product features and functions, at acceptable prices, is critical to our success. We may not be able to compete as effectively, and ultimately satisfy the needs and preferences of our customers, unless we can continue to improve existing products and develop new innovative products in the global markets in which we compete. While we spent $174 million for research and development in 2025, we cannot provide any assurance that this level of investment in research and development will be sufficient to maintain our competitive strength in product innovation, which could cause our business to suffer. Product improvements and new product introductions also require significant planning, design, development and testing at the technological, product and manufacturing process levels, and we may not be able to timely develop product improvements or new products. Our competitors’ new products may arrive in the market before our products arrive and be more attractive with more features and functions and/or lower prices than our products. If we are unable to provide continued technological improvements in our products that meet our customers’ or the industry’s expectations, then demand for our products could be adversely affected.
In response to legislative, regulatory, investment community and societal concerns regarding global climate change and related efforts to limit greenhouse gas emissions, including changes in customer preferences and changes in regulations, we face greater pressure to develop products that generate less greenhouse gas emissions. Many manufacturers foresee sales of electric-powered vehicles and mobile equipment becoming increasingly important to their businesses, and we may not have the expertise or resources to successfully address these pressures on a cost-effective basis. Continued development of enhanced propulsion choices will require us to spend additional funds on research and development and subject us to the risk that our competitors may respond to these pressures in a manner that gives them a competitive advantage. If we do not accurately predict, prepare for and respond to new kinds of technological innovations with respect to electric-powered vehicles or mobile equipment and other technologies that minimize emissions, competition from others could make our specialty vehicles or mobile equipment less desirable in the marketplace.
We are subject to fluctuations in exchange rates associated with our non-U.S. operations that could adversely affect our results of operations and may significantly affect the comparability of our results between financial periods.
Approximately 18% of our net sales in 2025 were attributable to products sold outside of the United States, of which approximately 47% involved export sales from the United States. The majority of export sales are denominated in U.S. dollars. Sales that originate outside the United States are typically transacted in the local currencies of those countries. Fluctuations in foreign currency can have an adverse impact on our sales and profits as amounts that are measured in foreign currency are translated to U.S. dollars. We have sales of inventory denominated in U.S. dollars to certain of our subsidiaries that have functional currencies other than the U.S. dollar. The exchange rates between many of these currencies and the U.S. dollar have fluctuated significantly in recent years and may fluctuate significantly in the future. Such fluctuations, in particular those with respect to the Euro, the Chinese renminbi, the Canadian dollar, the Mexican peso, the Australian dollar and the British pound sterling may have a material effect on our net sales, financial condition, profitability and/or cash flows and may significantly affect the comparability of our results between financial periods. In addition, any further appreciation in the value of the U.S. dollar in relation to the value of the local currency of those
countries where our products are sold will continue to increase our costs of goods in our foreign operations, to the extent such costs are payable in U.S. dollars, and impact the competitiveness of our product offerings in international markets.
We may not be able to expand international operations or increase sales and profitability consistent with our growth targets.
Expanding international operations and sales is a part of our growth strategy. International operations and sales are subject to various risks, including political, religious and economic instability, the imposition of foreign tariffs upon our products (which include tariffs in response to tariffs that the U.S. imposes) and other trade barriers, the impact of foreign government regulations and the effects of income and withholding taxes, sporadic order patterns, governmental expropriation, uncertainties or delays in collection of accounts receivable and differences in business practices. Among other things, there are additional logistical requirements associated with international sales, which increase the amount of time between the completion of production and our ability to recognize related revenue. In addition, expansion into foreign markets requires the establishment of distribution networks and may require modification of products to meet local requirements or preferences. Establishment of distribution networks or modification to the design of our products to meet local requirements and preferences may take longer or be more costly than we anticipate and could have a material adverse effect on our ability to achieve international sales growth. In addition, our entry into certain markets that we wish to enter may require us to establish a joint venture or face competition from foreign state-backed competitors. Identifying an appropriate joint venture partner and creating a joint venture could be more time consuming, more costly and more difficult than we anticipate. Local government policy and influence can also impact international competition, such as in China where a state-controlled economy favors local market participants.
Our use of artificial intelligence and autonomy technologies may expose us to additional risks and may not deliver the benefits we anticipate.
We are developing, integrating and using artificial intelligence (AI) and autonomy in certain products, services and internal operations. These technologies are evolving and, in many cases, rely on third-party tools, data, software or infrastructure. Our ability to realize benefits from their use depends on factors such as data quality, system integration, workforce adoption, computing resources and the ongoing performance and availability of third-party technology providers. AI-enabled systems may not perform as intended under all operating conditions and may generate inaccurate, incomplete or biased outputs. As these technologies are introduced into products, services or operations, failures or perceived failures, whether due to design limitations, data constraints, integration challenges, cybersecurity incidents, operator misuse, inadequate training or other causes, could result in product performance issues, safety incidents, increased costs, reputational harm or reduced customer acceptance. In addition, the legal and regulatory framework governing AI and data use is rapidly evolving and remains uncertain. New or changing laws, regulations or standards could increase compliance costs, limit permissible uses, require changes to product design or governance practices or expose us to litigation or enforcement actions. If we are unable to effectively develop, integrate, govern or manage AI-enabled technologies, or if these technologies fail to deliver expected benefits, our results of operations, financial condition or competitive position could be adversely affected.
Financial Risks
We are subject to changes in contract estimates.
We account for substantially all long-term contracts in the Transport segment utilizing the cost-to-cost method of percentage-of-completion accounting. This accounting requires judgment relative to assessing risks, estimating revenues and costs and making assumptions regarding the timing of receipt of delivery orders from our government customers. Due to the size and nature of these contracts, the estimate of costs is complex and subject to many variables. We must make assumptions regarding expected increases in material costs, wages and employee benefits, engineering hours, productivity and availability of labor and allocated fixed costs. Changes to production costs, overhead rates, learning curves and/or
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